Daniel Jade vs Yannick Castelnuovo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Jade and Castelnuovo compare on second serve performance in recent form? Jade has an edge with 44.86% of points won, compared to Castelnuovo's 39.06%.
• In return games, Jade has shown stronger performance by winning 47.79% of opponent’s second serve points, while Castelnuovo has won 43.24%. However, Castelnuovo edges out Jade on first serve returns with 32.43% compared to Jade’s 29.9%.
• Under pressure, Castelnuovo is slightly more efficient by saving 53.66% of breakpoints, compared to Jade’s 52.38%.
• What about their match win rates over the past year? Both have similar performances, with Jade winning 42.86% of matches and Castelnuovo winning 42.11%.
• Regarding their favorite surfaces, Jade excels on Clay with a 43% win rate, while Castelnuovo performs best on Hard courts, also with a 43% win rate.
• Jade and Castelnuovo largely compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments. Jade has won 50% of such matches, while Castelnuovo has a slightly lower win rate at 42.11%.
• In terms of opponent difficulty, Castelnuovo has faced tougher competition, with opponents having an average rank of 80.63, while Jade’s adversaries average a ranking of 406.86.
• In deciding sets, Castelnuovo has a significant advantage, winning 40% of them, whereas Jade has not won any in the last year.
• Analyzing breakpoint conversion, Jade leads with a 38.71% conversion rate compared to Castelnuovo’s 35%.

Editorial Prediction (June 25, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Jade and Castelnuovo offers several interesting insights that could influence the outcome. Jade's superior second serve and return game performance give them an initial edge, potentially dictating the flow of the match.

Castelnuovo, however, brings more resilience under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints. This could be crucial in clutch moments, especially when considering their better performance in deciding sets.

While Jade has faced less formidable opponents, Castelnuovo's experience against stronger competition may prove essential. Jade has a slight advantage in converting breakpoints, yet Castelnuovo's ability to secure wins on Hard surfaces cannot be overlooked.

Given these factors, the match is expected to be closely contested. However, Castelnuovo's experience against higher-ranked players and better deciding set performance make them the likely winner of this encounter.